Why the scramble for the UDA ticket is a masterstroke for the ruling party

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The race for the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) ticket ahead of the 2027 General Election is rapidly turning into one of the most consequential political developments of the pre-election cycle.

With more than 9,000 aspirants already registered—more than a year before formal campaigns begin—the ruling party is not merely preparing for elections; it is methodically locking down Kenya’s political terrain from the grassroots up.

So far, 9,165 aspirants have signed up to seek the UDA ticket across all elective positions, underscoring the party’s growing gravitational pull and the perception that UDA remains the most viable political vehicle heading into 2027.

The aspirant scramble by the numbers

The scale of interest is unprecedented at this early stage:

  • Governors: 139 aspirants competing for 47 seats
  • Senators: 240 aspirants for 47 seats
  • Women Representatives: 274 aspirants for 47 seats
  • National Assembly: 1,205 aspirants chasing 290 seats
  • Ward Representatives (MCAs): 7,307 aspirants for 1,450 seats

Registration remains open until the statutory deadline of 90 days before the election, signaling that these numbers are likely to rise further.

The momentum will be tested and consolidated at the first UDA Aspirants Forum, scheduled for tomorrow from 8:00 am, where party leadership is expected to align aspirants with its political messaging and strategy. The buzz around the forum has already ignited the question dominating political circles: UDA ni faya si faya?

Early capture of political loyalty

At the center of this strategy is early commitment. By opening aspirant registration far ahead of the election calendar, UDA is forcing politicians to make a choice now rather than later. Once an aspirant registers, pays fees, attends party forums, and mobilizes supporters under the UDA banner, defecting becomes politically and financially costly.

This approach transforms aspirants into party foot soldiers long before nominations. They market the party, recruit members, defend government policy at the local level, and build campaign infrastructure—often using their own resources.

Turning aspirants into a funding engine

The scramble is also delivering a major financial windfall. With non-refundable registration fees across categories, UDA is quietly building an early war chest. Even conservative estimates place collections in the tens of millions of shillings, giving the party financial muscle to fund grassroots elections, digital systems, research, and logistics long before rivals can mobilize comparable resources.

In politics, early money often determines momentum—and UDA has ensured it flows in early and steadily.

Grassroots saturation: locking down the polling station

Beyond high-profile seats, UDA’s real focus is at the polling station level. The party is rolling out an aggressive plan to establish approximately 20 officials at every polling centre nationwide, translating to more than 540,000 grassroots operatives.

These officials are drawn from youth groups, women, religious leaders, farmers, traders, and persons with disabilities—embedding the party into every social and economic layer of the electorate. The result is near-total grassroots saturation that makes it difficult for rival parties to penetrate communities without encountering an entrenched UDA presence.

A ready-made replacement bench

Another strategic advantage lies in talent banking. By registering thousands of aspirants early, the party is effectively building a vetted reserve force. If sitting leaders defect, lose popularity, or fail to deliver politically, UDA already has alternative candidates with established local networks ready to step in.

This reduces the party’s vulnerability to internal rebellions and late-stage political surprises.

Data-driven political mapping

The registration exercise is also a powerful data collection tool. Aspirant numbers by region allow UDA to map strongholds, identify weak zones, and decide where zoning, coalitions, or negotiated contests may be necessary. This intelligence-driven approach gives the ruling party a strategic advantage long before ballots are printed.

Coalition politics as damage control

Complementing this internal strategy is UDA’s push toward broad-based political arrangements, including engagement with the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM). By stabilizing relations with key opposition figures, the ruling party reduces hostility in traditional opposition zones while projecting inclusivity and national unity.

This tactic blunts resistance, lowers the temperature of competition, and narrows the electoral battlefield.

Digital control of the nomination process

To minimize post-nomination fallout—a perennial weakness in Kenyan politics—UDA has invested heavily in digital voting systems for internal elections. Electronic registration and voting are aimed at delivering faster, more transparent outcomes and reducing disputes that often lead to defections.

The Aspirants Forum is expected to reinforce discipline, align messaging, and emphasize loyalty to party processes.

The bigger picture

What appears on the surface as a chaotic scramble for tickets is, in reality, a carefully engineered political machine. By combining early mobilization, grassroots saturation, financial strength, digital systems, and coalition tactics, UDA is positioning itself as an unavoidable force across all 47 counties.

In political terms, it is a high-energy, high-stakes strategy—faya si faya—designed to ensure that by the time Kenyans head to the polls, the ruling party’s footprint is already firmly planted everywhere that matters.

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